when a hurricane once again 黑龙江大学俄语学院

RMB Hibor A shares into the basket on the eve of Hurricane panic selling to sina finance App: Live on-line blogger to guide your entries you make you take you can always keep my newspaper reporter He Xiaoqing Guangzhou reported Hibor yuan (Hongkong InterBank Offered Rate, the Hongkong interbank offered rate) when a hurricane once again, A shares can be confined? In September 19th, the central bank announced the central parity of RMB against the U.S. dollar was 6.6876, an increase of 109 basis points, the day on shore RMB closed at 6.6716. On the same day, the offshore RMB overnight lending rate in Hongkong was 23.683%, which was 1573 basis points higher than the previous trading day, the highest record in history, reaching the highest level since January 12th this year, which was the second highest level since the beginning of this year. Overnight Hibor rose to 13.4% in January 11th this year, the 12 day soared to 66.82%, while offshore RMB exchange rate rebounded significantly, from 6.6832 to 6.5780. The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 5.33% in January 11th. From September 19th two the market performance, the two cities opened in early trading day after, all day long overall showing sideways trend. As of the end game, the three major stock indexes rose slightly to two, Shenzhen Component Index and the gem index rose nearly 1%. Two city clinch a deal 345 billion 611 million yuan, compared with the previous trading day closing down 29 billion 319 million yuan. In the short term, the stability measures of the spot exchange rate will bring about a tight capital side, or the rebound of the A shares will be suppressed. "In the medium term, the devaluation of the RMB exchange rate pressure still need to release, but due to the middle price formation mechanism more transparent, investors also gradually accept RMB exchange rate more market-oriented, so the probability of A shares will not recur after panic last year ‘8 and 11’ reform of the selling situation." On the eve of the SDR, the exchange rate remained stable, and Xie Yaxuan, an investment analyst at the China Merchants Bank, said that the international funds had obviously disappeared from the emerging markets last week, while the RMB exchange rate at home and abroad showed different degrees of strength. There are indications that the central bank may act simultaneously in the domestic and foreign markets last week, and intervene in the RMB exchange rate. "As Wednesday trading day, the average daily trading volume of the foreign exchange market reached 28 billion 306 million US dollars, which rose to 18.6%, and the central bank intervened obviously." Xie Yaxuan said. During the 13-15 day of September, the overnight offshore RMB HIBOR rose from 2.84% to 7.95%, while the CNH (Offshore RMB exchange rate) increased from 6.6918 to 6.6497." Zhuang Da also said that the recent policy on the level of exchange rate stability maintenance intentions on the one hand is through the intervention of the spot exchange rate ease capital outflow pressure, on the other hand through the intervention of the offshore market exchange rate in RMB two compression, October 1st officially joined the SDR (Special Drawing Right, the special drawing right before the stable exchange rate). In September 19th, the data show

人民币入篮前夜Hibor狂飙 A股恐慌式抛售难现 新浪财经App:直播上线 博主一对一指导 你参赛你赚你拿 总能让你过把瘾   本报记者 何晓晴 广州报道   人民币Hibor (Hongkong InterBank Offered Rate, 香港银行同业拆借利率)再度狂飙之时,A股能否承压?   9月19日,央行公布人民币兑美元汇率中间价为6.6876,上调109基点,当日在岸人民币报收6.6716。当日香港离岸人民币隔夜拆借利率23.683%,较上一交易日暴涨1573个基点,为历史第二高涨幅纪录,创今年1月12日以来最高水平。   隔夜Hibor曾在今年1月11日升至13.4%,12日飙至66.82%,与此同时,离岸人民币汇率则出现明显反弹,由6.6832上升至6.5780。1月11日上证指数曾大跌5.33%。   从9月19日的二级市场表现来看,当天早盘两市高开冲高后,全天整体呈现出横盘震荡态势。截至终盘,两市三大股指均小幅上涨报收,深成指及创业板指均涨近1%。两市全天成交3456.11亿元,较上个交易日收盘时减少293.19亿元。   重阳投资策略分析师庄达表示,短期来看,即期汇率维稳措施带来偏紧的资金面,或将对A股的反弹构成压制。“中期来看,人民币汇率贬值压力仍需释放,但由于中间价形成机制更加透明,投资者也逐步接受更加市场化的人民币汇率,因此A股大概率不会重现去年‘8・11’汇改之后的恐慌式抛售情形。”   SDR前夜保持汇率稳定   招商证券分析师谢亚轩表示,国际资金在上周明显撤离新兴市场的情况下,境内外人民币汇率反而出现不同程度的走强。种种迹象表明,央行上周可能在境内外市场同时行动,对人民币汇率进行干预。   “如上周三个交易日内外汇市场日均交易量达到 283.06 亿美元,涨幅扩大到 18.6%,央行干预迹象明显。” 谢亚轩说。“9月13-15 日间,隔夜 离岸人民币HIBOR 由 2.84%涨至 7.95%,而 CNH(离岸人民币兑换价格) 由6.6918 升值为 6.6497。”   庄达也称,近期政策层面继续维稳汇率的意图一方面是通过干预即期汇率缓解资金流出压力,另一方面通过干预离岸市场压缩两地汇差,在人民币10月1日正式加入SDR(Special Drawing Right,特别提款权)之前保持汇率稳定。   9月19日,外管局数据显示,8月银行结售汇逆差634亿元,同比前值2114亿元大幅收窄。1-8月,银行累计结售汇逆差14097亿元人民币,前值逆差13463亿元。美国财政部9月16日发布的国际资本流动报告(TIC)显示,中国 7 月持有美国国债 1.22 万亿美元,环比下降220亿美元,连续两个月减持,创2013年以来单月最大降幅。   中国银行国际金融研究所王有鑫认为,在美元强势,各国纷纷增持美国国债的情况下,中国持有美国国债规模不升反降,主要是为了稳定人民币汇率,满足国内企业和居民购汇需求。2015年“8・11汇改”以来,中国月均减持美债29.7亿美元,而2016年7月减持美债规模达220亿美元,远超月度均值,反映当前人民币贬值压力仍较大。   对A股影响力趋弱   9月19日盘后,海富通基金经理助理李志表示,经过年初至今的数轮贬值以来,汇率波动对于A股市场的影响力趋弱。 “影响四季度A股市场的主要变量是美联储加息和国内经济的变化。”   好买基金研究中心研究员雷昕亦认为,“从我们持续观察的情况来看,近期市场逐渐接受了人民币汇率双向波动的状态,这一因素对市场的影响将会减少。”   雷昕强调,从外储的数据以及HIBOR的波动可以发现,资本外流的情况时松时紧,与汇率的波动相匹配。反观盈利水平和利率水平将会是影响A股未来表现的重要因素。   庄达则认为,四季度A股市场需要关注以下几个变量,国内层面,一是资本市场法制化、市场化、国际化进程,制度建设是中长期资本市场健康发展的基础,但短期对风险偏好形成扰动;二是无风险利率走势,在货币政策宽松有限、财政政策发力的情况下,利率的波动难以避免。国际层面,一是美国大选不确定性对风险资产的影响,二是美联储加息进程走向。   (编辑:巫燕玲) 新浪声明:此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。 进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章: